Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.159335 3.479059 3.824846 4.227884 4.686345 5.193481 5.799454
2025-10-12 2.739159 3.175919 3.680574 4.311652 5.086513 6.015773 7.228084
2025-10-19 2.472302 2.974188 3.582551 4.384167 5.427588 6.761037 8.629484
2025-10-26 2.276408 2.819541 3.503572 4.444117 5.729302 7.463089 10.049375
2025-11-02 2.112408 2.680381 3.418919 4.471819 5.972217 8.095367 11.446813
2025-11-09 1.924436 2.488652 3.241079 4.345345 5.973637 8.370718 12.340068
2025-11-16 1.787399 2.351765 3.122031 4.283291 6.051485 8.754600 13.443957
2025-11-23 1.681831 2.248561 3.038901 4.260937 6.179404 9.221079 14.745049
2025-11-30 1.631230 2.217765 3.054493 4.383540 6.539834 10.097558 16.897314
2025-12-07 1.545384 2.129241 2.977386 4.354155 6.648747 10.561713 18.370002
2025-12-14 1.461887 2.038263 2.889238 4.297946 6.704025 10.934040 19.723637
2025-12-21 1.357531 1.909751 2.735111 4.121936 6.535574 10.880242 20.199956
2025-12-28 1.309224 1.864805 2.709497 4.158840 6.749374 11.572929 22.410439
2026-01-04 1.272830 1.835871 2.706886 4.233797 7.039266 12.451761 25.229986
2026-01-11 1.238160 1.807214 2.702170 4.303648 7.325780 13.363107 28.341502
2026-01-18 1.203828 1.776799 2.692023 4.362061 7.595357 14.277122 31.689969
2026-01-25 1.166134 1.738636 2.666122 4.389094 7.804893 15.091502 34.993718
2026-02-01 1.104226 1.657683 2.562998 4.265567 7.696712 15.180271 36.313607
2026-02-08 1.057756 1.599934 2.496253 4.204951 7.711876 15.553746 38.556541
2026-02-15 1.020965 1.556515 2.451781 4.183114 7.806115 16.127281 41.568792
2026-02-22 1.009231 1.554590 2.479669 4.302873 8.218118 17.541188 47.718543
2026-03-01 0.975148 1.512834 2.434178 4.274172 8.298022 18.129173 51.295336
2026-03-08 0.939242 1.466343 2.377689 4.219267 8.312834 18.549751 54.423951